Happy 4th, and lessons from the past.
First of all, happy 4th of July! The 4th is an opportunity for all of us who love this great nation to come together, no matter our differences of opinion, and together celebrate those values we hold dear. Let us all hope that the future of our country can be a bright one, and that we will all work together to improve the lives of our citizens, and those of the citizens of the world.
I just finished watching the Fog of War. It is a documentary on Robert McNamara. He was the Secretary of Defense during the Kennedy and Johnson administrations. He was a principle architect of the Vietnam War, as well as having been involved in some other important events, including the firebombing of Japanese cities in the close of the Second World War, and the Cuban Missile crisis. It was interesting to watch him explain the feelings and decisions that surrounded these events, especially from a man so intimately involved.
As for the Vietnam war, he said two things that I thought were directly applicable to us today in our current situation. The first was that you have to be able to empathize with your enemy, in order to understand his motivations. He gave two good examples, the Soviets during the Cuban missile crisis, and the North Vietnamese during the Vietnam war. He attributes the successful outcome of the Cuban Missile Crisis to the Administration successfully understanding the mindset and motivations of the Soviets. They understood that the Soviets would be willing to withdraw from Cuba as long as they would be able to represent the entire situation as a success to their own people. The understanding of the motivations allowed us to escape from nuclear annihilation by the skin of our teeth.
He contrasted that with the North Vietnamese, and stated that we totally misunderstood their motivations. We were looking at them through the eyes of the cold war, as if they were a vanguard for the Soviets and the Chinese. In reality, the North Vietnamese cared little for the Soviets and Chinese, and saw themselves as fighting a war of independence from Colonial occupiers. In our minds, since they were only fighting for an ideology, we should be able to beat them, sap their will, and get them to give up. However since they were fighting for freedom and independence, they would never give up. This miscalculation was the direct cause of thousands of deaths.
When I think about this, I can see parallels in our war on terror. Our President continually misrepresents the motivations of the terrorists. He continually says they are fighting freedom, that they hate our freedom, and want to destroy it. This is simply not true. The main motivation for Bin Laden is Islamic pride and a fierce determination to expel the western influences from the middle east. They see these influences as detrimental to their goal of a religious society. It is not freedom they hate, but that we remove their freedom to do as they will. You have to remember, I am not saying they are right, I am simply stating the way they likely feel. It is important to understand our enemy's true motivations or we cannot successfully fight them.
Another good example of this is the whole idea of invading Iraq as a way to stop the terrorists. Bin Laden's stated goal is to provoke a holy war with the west. That is why he attacked, hoping that we would attack back with overwhelming force and in the process, alienate and enrage the Muslims of the world so that they would rise up in the final battles that would finally destroy the evil influences of the western world. Bush mischaracterizes the attacks by saying that Bin Laden hoped we would withdraw, and cower away. That is the exact opposite of his hopes. We have played directly into his hands, and we are doing exactly what he hoped we would. The only place Bin Laden was mistaken is that the Muslim street has not risen up quite as fast as I am sure he was hoping. If Bush is re-elected, maybe they will.
Bush either totally misunderstands his enemy, or he is just trying to make us think he does. Either way, we have a problem. As McNamara so clearly showed in the documentary, thousands of lives can rest on truly understanding your enemy. When we don't, we make a grave mistake.
The second thing that struck me in the documentary was a statement McNamara made that has direct implications for our current situation. Here is what he said:
What makes us Omniscient?
Have we a record of Omniscience?
We are the strongest nation in the world today, I do not believe that we should ever, apply that economic, political or military power unilaterally. If we had followed that rule in Vietnam, we wouldn't have been there. None of our allies supported us. Not Japan, not Germany, not Britain or France. If we can't persuade nations with comparable values of the merit of our cause, we had better re-examine our reasoning.
This obviously from a man re-examining his reasoning that led him and the men he advised into a war that is seen by many to be a disaster. Obviously the lesson for us is that if our cause is righteous and sensible, then why would those nations that have similar values to us oppose us? Shouldn't that give us pause? Yes, Australia and Great Britain share our values, and they fought with us. But any objective view of the facts surrounding that make it clear that there were more important geopolitical forces at work, they desired to maintain good standing with an ally, and in the case of Great Britain, felt they could do more good in the long run standing by the United States, than they could by letting the U.S. go it alone. Many other nations who also share our values of freedom and democracy opposed us. Why? Out of spite, jealousy or plain hatred? Even if these were the reasons, the very presence of their opposition, especially as fervently as the opposition actually was, should have made us question our actions at least a little.
Unfortunately our President and his administration are not given to self refelction and re-examination. They are convinced they are guided by God and providence, and their cause is just. They do not waste time of second guessing. They never are wrong, and they never apologize.
Time for a change?